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Posts Tagged ‘La Niña’

The Implications of Hurricane Alex

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What started out as a tropical storm became Hurricane Alex, the first June hurricane to hit the Gulf in 15 years.

The storm season typically begins later in the summer, and this early activity is evidence of La Niña conditions. A La Niña pattern consists of cool Pacific water temperatures, which recently have been steady near -0.5C below normal. Alex reached land overnight in Mexico, missing the producing region. 

However, nearly 1 Bcf/d of production was shut in due to platform evacuations in anticipation of the storm.  While no other storms are approaching in the…
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Hurricane Forecast Update

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Hurricane experts at both the NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center and the Colorado State University (CSU) forecast team predict an extremely active 2010 season for the Atlantic Basin. CSU has increased their analysis to expect 18 named storms between June and November, including 10 hurricanes with 5 major hurricanes. NOAA’s update calls for a 70% chance of 14-23 named storms, 8-14 hurricanes, and 3-7 major hurricanes over the next six months.

This season will show more activity than 2009 largely due to a shift in the El Niño pattern. Last year, a moderate to strong El Niño (which means above average sea surface temperatures in the…
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